Technology • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, ELECTRONIC ARTS INC. (EA) is not a buy — GOOD BUSINESS (70/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -44.1% and a Brina Gap of -20.9% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, ELECTRONIC ARTS INC. (EA) trades at $209.70 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $145.53 — a -44.1% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $2.06B TTM, projected at 8.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -20.9% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (16.6%) and reinvestment rate (-7.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.2% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 19.7%. This places EA in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 0.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, EA generated $2.06B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $191.00M paid as dividends, $234.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -7.2%. Owner Earnings have grown at 8.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.