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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Aug 28, 2026

DOW INC. (DOW)

Materials • NYSE

$30.33

Dow Inc. is an American multinational chemical corporation headquartered in Midland, Michigan, formed in 2019 when DowDuPont was separated into three independent companies. The company produces advanced materials, industrial intermediates, and performance materials and coatings for packaging, infrastructure, consumer care, and mobility markets. Dow's products include polyethylene, propylene-based products, isocyanates, silicones, and specialty compounds.

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

11.0/100

POOR BUSINESS

DOW INC. (DOW) scores 11/100 — concerning metrics indicating significant structural or financial risks.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full DOW quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

N/A (Requires more data)

Requires fair value calculation and current price data

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full DOW valuation analysis · → View full DOW Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (-15.5%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):POOR (1.08x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):CRITICAL (-6.4%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (-6.3%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

DOW INC. (DOW) stock report — Zyberno Score 11/100 (POOR BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

Over the trailing twelve months, DOW generated -$232.00M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $1.25B paid as dividends, $2.30B invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 18.7%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:30.33

Market Cap:$21.87B

Valuation Multiples (3)

P/B Ratio:1.30x

P/S Ratio:0.56x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (1)

Enterprise Value:$35.37B

Price Action & Momentum (3)

12-1 Momentum:

+34.8% (52th pctile)

📈 Click to view full DOW Momentum analysis →

Momentum Percentile:52 / 100

% of 52-Week High:71.0%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (5)

ROE:

-15.5%

📊 Click to view full DOW ROE analysis →

ROA:-4.7%

Roic:

-6.3%

📊 Click to view full DOW ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:18.7%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):-1.2%

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:-6.4%

Net Margin Ttm:-7.1%

Ebitda Margin:0.0%

TTM Performance (3)

Gross Margin Ttm:6.4%

Operating Margin Ttm:-6.4%

Net Margin Ttm:-7.1%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:-$13.19

Dividend Yield:5.7%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Earnings Surprise (SUE) (3)

Earnings Surprise (SUE):

+0.40

📊 Click to view full DOW Earnings Surprise analysis →

EPS Surprise vs Expected:38.1%

Latest Earnings Filed:2026-04-24

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-9.1%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-45.6%

Cash Flow Growth (Linear) (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-14.7%

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-30.9%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-50.0%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:1.85x

Quick Ratio:1.20x

Cash Ratio:0.39x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:1.08x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:1.08x

Debt To Ebitda:-999.00x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:-2.89x

Times Interest Earned:-2.89

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:8,933,000,000.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:4,110,000,000.00

Long Term Debt:$17.25B

Net Debt:$13.49B

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $39.33B

Linear Growth: -9.1%

📊 Click to view full DOW Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$36.83B

Profitability Breakdown (2)

Gross profit TTM: $2.50B

Linear Growth: -27.9%

📊 Click to view full DOW Gross Profit analysis & methodology →

Operating income TTM: -$2.53B

Linear Growth: -50.0%

📊 Click to view full DOW Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: -$2.78B

Linear Growth: -45.6%

📊 Click to view full DOW Net Income analysis & methodology →

Income Before Tax:-$2.53B

Ebitda Ttm:-9,000,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:0.00

R And D Expense:733,000,000.00

Sga Expense:1,443,000,000.00

Income Tax Expense:$72.00M

Interest Expense:868,000,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:7.5%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:14.7%

Ebitda Margin:0.0%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$59.78B

Current Assets:$19.47B

Ppe Net:22,108,000,000.00

Goodwill:7,947,000,000.00

Intangible Assets:$1.43B

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:43,017,000,000.00

Current Liabilities:10,536,000,000.00

Long Term Debt:$17.25B

Short Term Debt:$348.00M

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$16.76B

Retained Earnings:$15.99B

Common Stock:5,000,000,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:5,185,000,000.00

Inventory:6,775,000,000.00

Accounts Payable:2,802,000,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:215,000,000.00

Stock Based Compensation:154,000,000.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

Operating cash flow TTM: $2.07B

Linear Growth: -30.9%

Free cash flow TTM: -$232.00M

Linear Growth: -14.7%

📊 Click to view full DOW Free Cash Flow analysis & methodology →

Investment Activities (2)

Investing Cash Flow:-$448.00M

Capital Expenditures Ttm:2,297,000,000.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:-$320.00M

Dividends Paid Ttm:1,248,000,000.00

Stock Repurchase:0.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:85,000,000.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$0.00

Long Term Debt Repayments:$83.00M

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:2,518,000,000.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (3)

EPS (Basic TTM):-4.00

Eps diluted TTM: -$4.00

Linear Growth: -46.3%

📊 Click to view full DOW EPS analysis & methodology →

Earnings Per Share Ttm:-$3.86

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:54.54

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:$1.43

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$23.24

Cash Per Share:5.70

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:-999.00x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.66x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:4.40x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:7.59x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:48.12

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:5.44x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:67.14

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:27.77

Cash Conversion Cycle:87.49

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:60.00

Quality Score:40.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (1)

-$232.00M

Damodaran Growth Analysis (2)

Reinvestment Rate:18.7%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):-1.2%

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-9.1%

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-45.6%

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-50.0%

Cash Flow Growth Rates (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-14.7%

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-30.9%

Other Growth Rates (2)

Gross Profit Growth Rate (Linear):-27.9%

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):-1.8%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:DOW

Company Name:DOW INC.

Sector:Materials

Industry:Plastic Materials, Synth Resins & Nonvulcan Elastomers

Exchange:NYSE

Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:medium

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:721.20M

Shares Outstanding Basic:721.20M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:721.20M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-08-28 22:57:48 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-08-28T22:57:48.918168