Consumer Discretionary • NYSE
According to Zyberno, AMCON DISTRIBUTING CO (DIT) shows a Value Trap signal — AVERAGE BUSINESS (52/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +95.0%, but a Brina Gap of +2.9% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, AMCON DISTRIBUTING CO (DIT) trades at $69.00 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $1,375.87 — a +95.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $41.15M TTM, projected at 22.7% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of +2.9% strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (6.9%) and reinvestment rate (-8.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects -3.5%. This places DIT in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 119.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, DIT generated $41.15M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $646.41K paid as dividends, $6.23M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -8.6%. Owner Earnings have grown at 22.7% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.