Technology • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, DIODES INC /DEL/ (DIOD) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (45/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -23.0% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, DIODES INC /DEL/ (DIOD) trades at $88.00 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $12.56 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $129.36M TTM, projected at -21.7% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -23.0% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (4.2%) and reinvestment rate (-55.1%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 20.7%. This places DIOD in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -45.8% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, DIOD generated $129.36M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $33.81M returned via share buybacks, $94.34M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -55.1%. Owner Earnings have declined at 21.7% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.