Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (52/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -19.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL) trades at $472.26 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $203.58 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $9.65B TTM, projected at 2.5% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -19.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (51.0%) and reinvestment rate (-9.1%), the business can fundamentally grow at -4.7% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 15.0%. This places DELL in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -13.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, DELL generated $9.65B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $1.63B returned via share buybacks, $1.53B paid as dividends, $3.03B invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -9.1%. Owner Earnings have grown at 2.5% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.