Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, DEERE & CO (DE) shows a Value Trap signal — AVERAGE BUSINESS (56/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +21.4%, but a Brina Gap of -18.2% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, DEERE & CO (DE) trades at $622.66 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $792.24 — a +21.4% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $6.87B TTM, projected at 25.4% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -18.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (12.7%) and reinvestment rate (-16.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.1% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 16.1%. This places DE in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 25.9% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, DE generated $6.87B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $302.00M returned via share buybacks, $1.76B paid as dividends, $1.26B invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -16.6%. Owner Earnings have grown at 25.4% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.