Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, DONALDSON COMPANY, INC. (DCI) shows a Value Trap signal — GOOD BUSINESS (70/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +15.1%, but a Brina Gap of -11.5% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, DONALDSON COMPANY, INC. (DCI) trades at $91.89 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $108.25 — a +15.1% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $403.20M TTM, projected at 20.3% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -11.5% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (19.7%) and reinvestment rate (-4.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 10.7%. This places DCI in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 24.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, DCI generated $403.20M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $91.50M returned via share buybacks, $134.20M paid as dividends, $68.10M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -4.2%. Owner Earnings have grown at 20.3% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.