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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Aug 23, 2026

INVESCO DB BASE METALS FUND (DBB)

Financial Services • NYSE

$25.55

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

45.0/100

WEAK BUSINESS

INVESCO DB BASE METALS FUND (DBB) scores 45/100 — weak fundamentals with mixed indicators requiring careful analysis before acting.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full DBB quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

MARGIN OF SAFETY

Is this stock cheap or expensive relative to what the business has historically generated for owners?

Margin of Safety unavailable — insufficient data for the owner-earnings DCF.

BRINA GAP ↗

Is the market underestimating or overestimating what this business is capable of going forward?

-25.6%

Market Overestimates

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full DBB valuation analysis · → View full DBB Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):AVERAGE (13.9%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):EXCELLENT (0.00x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):EXCELLENT (79.4%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (1.4%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

INVESCO DB BASE METALS FUND (DBB) stock report — Zyberno Score 45/100 (WEAK BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

According to Zyberno's DCF model, INVESCO DB BASE METALS FUND (DBB) shows a Brina Gap of -25.6%, which weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (1.4%) and reinvestment rate (19.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 25.8%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:25.55

Market Cap:$369.20M

Valuation Multiples (4)

P/E Ratio:

8.65x

📊 Click to view full DBB P/E analysis →

P/B Ratio:1.06x

P/S Ratio:47.03x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (2)

Enterprise Value:$363.21M

Ev Ebitda Ratio:61.77x

Price Action & Momentum (3)

12-1 Momentum:

+33.5% (69th pctile)

📈 Click to view full DBB Momentum analysis →

Momentum Percentile:69 / 100

% of 52-Week High:95.7%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (7)

ROE:

13.9%

📊 Click to view full DBB ROE analysis →

ROA:13.6%

Roic:

1.4%

📊 Click to view full DBB ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:19.2%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):0.3%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:25.8%

Brina Gap:

-25.6%

☷ Click to view full DBB Brina Gap analysis →

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:79.4%

Net Margin Ttm:428.4%

Ebitda Margin:74.9%

TTM Performance (2)

Operating Margin Ttm:79.4%

Net Margin Ttm:428.4%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:$11.57

Dividend Yield:2.7%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Earnings Surprise (SUE) (3)

Earnings Surprise (SUE):

-1.04

📊 Click to view full DBB Earnings Surprise analysis →

EPS Surprise vs Expected:-105.2%

Latest Earnings Filed:2017-08-08

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):13.2%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-24.9%

Cash Flow Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-50.0%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-13.7%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:21.34x

Quick Ratio:21.34x

Cash Ratio:0.35x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:0.00x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:0.00x

Debt To Ebitda:0.00x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:171.14x

Times Interest Earned:171.14

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:347,902,966.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:5,984,500.00

Long Term Debt:$0.00

Net Debt:-$5.98M

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $7.85M

Linear Growth: 13.2%

📊 Click to view full DBB Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$0.00

Profitability Breakdown (2)

$0.00

Operating income TTM: $6.24M

Linear Growth: -13.7%

📊 Click to view full DBB Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: $33.63M

Linear Growth: -24.9%

📊 Click to view full DBB Net Income analysis & methodology →

Income Before Tax:$0.00

Ebitda Ttm:5,880,554.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:1,800,533.00

R And D Expense:0.00

Sga Expense:0.00

Income Tax Expense:$0.00

Interest Expense:23,645.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:0.0%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:0.0%

Ebitda Margin:74.9%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$365.00M

Current Assets:$365.00M

Ppe Net:0.00

Goodwill:0.00

Intangible Assets:$0.00

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:17,101,209.00

Current Liabilities:17,101,209.00

Long Term Debt:$0.00

Short Term Debt:$0.00

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$347.90M

Retained Earnings:$0.00

Common Stock:0.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:0.00

Inventory:0.00

Accounts Payable:0.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:0.00

Stock Based Compensation:0.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

Operating cash flow TTM: -$141.52M

Linear Growth: -50.0%

$0.00

Investment Activities (1)

Investing Cash Flow:$0.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:$91.28M

Dividends Paid Ttm:9,973,502.00

Stock Repurchase:49,484,096.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:140,763,355.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$0.00

Long Term Debt Repayments:$0.00

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:-354,873.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (2)

EPS (Basic TTM):2.94

Earnings Per Share Ttm:$2.33

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:0.54

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:-$3.86

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$24.08

Cash Per Share:0.41

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:14.71x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.03x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:0.02x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:-999.00x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:-999.00

Cash Conversion Cycle:-999.00

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:100.00

Quality Score:70.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Damodaran Growth Analysis (4)

Reinvestment Rate:19.2%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):0.3%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:25.8%

Brina Gap:

-25.6%

☷ Click to view full DBB Brina Gap analysis →

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):13.2%

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-24.9%

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-13.7%

Cash Flow Growth Rates (1)

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-50.0%

Other Growth Rates (1)

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):-14.7%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:DBB

Company Name:INVESCO DB BASE METALS FUND

Sector:Financial Services

Industry:Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers

Exchange:NYSE

Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:medium

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:14.45M

Shares Outstanding Basic:0

Shares Outstanding Diluted:0

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-08-23 17:38:40 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-08-23T00:12:26.723966