Utilities • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (30/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -47.8% and a Brina Gap of -24.5% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Clearway Energy, Inc. (CWEN) trades at $31.76 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $21.49 — a -47.8% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $656.00M TTM, projected at -11.8% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -24.5% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (1.6%) and reinvestment rate (-17.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 24.3%. This places CWEN in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -18.5% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, CWEN generated $656.00M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $366.00M paid as dividends, $338.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -17.6%. Owner Earnings have declined at 11.8% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.