Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, CURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION (CW) is not a buy — GREAT BUSINESS (83/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -20.4% and a Brina Gap of -18.8% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, CURTISS-WRIGHT CORPORATION (CW) trades at $605.49 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $502.83 — a -20.4% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $596.90M TTM, projected at 40.2% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -18.8% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (15.8%) and reinvestment rate (-6.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.0% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 17.8%. This places CW in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 15.6% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, CW generated $596.90M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $14.49M returned via share buybacks, $34.73M paid as dividends, $85.75M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -6.6%. Owner Earnings have grown at 40.2% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.