NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, CALAVO GROWERS, INC. (CVGW) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (45/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -59.0% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, CALAVO GROWERS, INC. (CVGW) trades at $26.09 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $1.84 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $14.65M TTM, projected at -26.3% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -59.0% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (10.8%) and reinvestment rate (-462.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -49.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 9.2%. This places CVGW in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -56.7% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, CVGW generated $14.65M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $14.30M paid as dividends, $2.66M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -462.6%. Owner Earnings have declined at 26.3% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.