Technology • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) is not a buy — GREAT BUSINESS (84/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -14.9% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) trades at $240.24 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $77.30 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $443.50M TTM, projected at 100.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -14.9% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (44.7%) and reinvestment rate (30.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at 13.7% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 28.7%. This places CRDO in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -4.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, CRDO generated $443.50M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $57.30M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 30.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 100.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.