Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, CENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP (CPF) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (50/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -55.1% and a Brina Gap of -0.8% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, CENTRAL PACIFIC FINANCIAL CORP (CPF) trades at $37.83 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $24.39 — a -55.1% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $90.19M TTM, projected at -11.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -0.8% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (13.6%) and reinvestment rate (-2.4%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 0.5%. This places CPF in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -18.4% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, CPF generated $90.19M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $29.88M paid as dividends, $5.34M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -2.4%. Owner Earnings have declined at 11.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.