Utilities • NYSE
According to Zyberno, CENTERPOINT ENERGY INC (CNP) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (37/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -7.4% and a Brina Gap of -6.2% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, CENTERPOINT ENERGY INC (CNP) trades at $39.29 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $36.57 — a -7.4% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $768.00M TTM, projected at 26.3% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -6.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (4.9%) and reinvestment rate (129.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at 6.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 12.5%. This places CNP in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 18.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, CNP generated $768.00M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $581.00M paid as dividends, $5.03B invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 129.6%. Owner Earnings have grown at 26.3% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.