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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Aug 21, 2026

CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (CMT)

Materials • NYSE

$26.11

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

33.0/100

WEAK BUSINESS

CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (CMT) scores 33/100 — weak fundamentals with mixed indicators requiring careful analysis before acting.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full CMT quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

MARGIN OF SAFETY

Is this stock cheap or expensive relative to what the business has historically generated for owners?

Margin of Safety unavailable — insufficient data for the owner-earnings DCF.

BRINA GAP ↗

Is the market underestimating or overestimating what this business is capable of going forward?

-10.8%

Market Overestimates

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full CMT valuation analysis · → View full CMT Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (4.6%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):EXCELLENT (0.19x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):POOR (3.6%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (4.3%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (CMT) stock report — Zyberno Score 33/100 (WEAK BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

According to Zyberno's DCF model, CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (CMT) shows a Brina Gap of -10.8%, which weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (4.3%) and reinvestment rate (70.4%), the business can fundamentally grow at 3.0% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 13.8%.

Over the trailing twelve months, CMT generated -$7.77M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $457.00K returned via share buybacks, $19.28M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 70.4%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:26.11

Market Cap:$224.05M

Valuation Multiples (4)

P/E Ratio:

30.36x

📊 Click to view full CMT P/E analysis →

P/B Ratio:1.39x

P/S Ratio:0.88x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (2)

Enterprise Value:$227.06M

Ev Ebitda Ratio:10.34x

Price Action & Momentum (3)

12-1 Momentum:

+45.4% (78th pctile)

📈 Click to view full CMT Momentum analysis →

Momentum Percentile:78 / 100

% of 52-Week High:91.0%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (7)

ROE:

4.6%

📊 Click to view full CMT ROE analysis →

ROA:3.2%

Roic:

4.3%

📊 Click to view full CMT ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:70.4%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):3.0%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:13.8%

Brina Gap:

-10.8%

☷ Click to view full CMT Brina Gap analysis →

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:3.6%

Net Margin Ttm:2.9%

Ebitda Margin:8.6%

TTM Performance (3)

Gross Margin Ttm:18.2%

Operating Margin Ttm:3.6%

Net Margin Ttm:2.9%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:$3.32

Dividend Yield:0.0%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Earnings Surprise (SUE) (3)

Earnings Surprise (SUE):

-0.74

📊 Click to view full CMT Earnings Surprise analysis →

EPS Surprise vs Expected:-57.7%

Latest Earnings Filed:2026-08-04

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-14.6%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-14.8%

Cash Flow Growth (Linear) (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-25.5%

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-17.5%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-24.9%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:2.00x

Quick Ratio:1.43x

Cash Ratio:0.25x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:0.19x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:0.19x

Debt To Ebitda:0.69x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:96.72x

Times Interest Earned:96.72

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:48,065,000.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:12,134,000.00

Long Term Debt:$13.03M

Net Debt:$3.01M

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $254.42M

Linear Growth: -14.6%

📊 Click to view full CMT Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$208.23M

Profitability Breakdown (2)

Gross profit TTM: $46.19M

Linear Growth: -5.2%

📊 Click to view full CMT Gross Profit analysis & methodology →

Operating income TTM: $9.22M

Linear Growth: -24.9%

📊 Click to view full CMT Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: $7.35M

Linear Growth: -14.8%

📊 Click to view full CMT Net Income analysis & methodology →

Income Before Tax:$9.53M

Ebitda Ttm:21,964,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:0.00

R And D Expense:1,400,000.00

Sga Expense:36,967,000.00

Income Tax Expense:$2.72M

Interest Expense:147,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:2.2%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:58.9%

Ebitda Margin:8.6%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$227.42M

Current Assets:$96.30M

Ppe Net:93,526,000.00

Goodwill:17,376,000.00

Intangible Assets:$3.02M

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:66,343,000.00

Current Liabilities:48,239,000.00

Long Term Debt:$13.03M

Short Term Debt:$2.12M

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$161.08M

Retained Earnings:$148.95M

Common Stock:20,000,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:35,292,000.00

Inventory:27,338,000.00

Accounts Payable:23,808,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:9,774,000.00

Stock Based Compensation:495,000.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

Operating cash flow TTM: $3.86M

Linear Growth: -17.5%

Free cash flow TTM: -$15.42M

Linear Growth: -25.5%

📊 Click to view full CMT Free Cash Flow analysis & methodology →

Investment Activities (2)

Investing Cash Flow:-$3.78M

Capital Expenditures Ttm:19,280,000.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:-$1.54M

Dividends Paid Ttm:0.00

Stock Repurchase:457,000.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:0.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$0.00

Long Term Debt Repayments:$469.00K

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:12,740,000.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (3)

EPS (Basic TTM):0.86

Eps diluted TTM: $0.86

Linear Growth: -14.8%

📊 Click to view full CMT EPS analysis & methodology →

Earnings Per Share Ttm:$0.86

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:29.65

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:$2.24

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$18.77

Cash Per Share:1.41

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:0.00x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:1.11x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:5.29x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:7.21x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:50.63

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:7.62x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:47.92

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:41.73

Cash Conversion Cycle:56.82

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:100.00

Quality Score:90.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (1)

-$7.77M

Damodaran Growth Analysis (4)

Reinvestment Rate:70.4%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):3.0%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:13.8%

Brina Gap:

-10.8%

☷ Click to view full CMT Brina Gap analysis →

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-14.6%

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-14.8%

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-24.9%

Cash Flow Growth Rates (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-25.5%

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-17.5%

Other Growth Rates (2)

Gross Profit Growth Rate (Linear):-5.2%

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):10.9%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:CMT

Company Name:CORE MOLDING TECHNOLOGIES, INC.

Sector:Materials

Industry:Plastics Products, NEC

Exchange:NYSE

Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:medium

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:8.58M

Shares Outstanding Basic:8.58M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:8.71M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-08-21 16:33:30 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-08-18T22:04:20.549993