Consumer Discretionary • NYSE
According to Zyberno, CROSSAMERICA PARTNERS LP (CAPL) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (36/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -8.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, CROSSAMERICA PARTNERS LP (CAPL) trades at $23.09 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $10.81 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $75.29M TTM, projected at -15.9% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -8.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (15.2%) and reinvestment rate (-24.9%), the business can fundamentally grow at -3.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 5.0%. This places CAPL in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -27.8% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, CAPL generated $75.29M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $80.05M paid as dividends, $29.04M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -24.9%. Owner Earnings have declined at 15.9% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.