Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Byline Bancorp, Inc. (BY) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (57/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -17.0% and a Brina Gap of +1.8% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Byline Bancorp, Inc. (BY) trades at $38.30 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $32.74 — a -17.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $165.37M TTM, projected at -6.4% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of +1.8% strengthens the case: based on the company's ROIC (13.3%) and reinvestment rate (-0.4%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.1% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects -1.8%. This places BY in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -9.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, BY generated $165.37M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $9.81M returned via share buybacks, $19.82M paid as dividends, $2.44M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -0.4%. Owner Earnings have declined at 6.4% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.