Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Blackstone Inc. (BX) is not a buy — GREAT BUSINESS (76/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -6.2% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Blackstone Inc. (BX) trades at $143.64 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $41.13 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $4.51B TTM, projected at -10.2% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -6.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (20.8%) and reinvestment rate (1.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.2% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 6.5%. This places BX in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -30.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, BX generated $4.51B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $6.07B paid as dividends, $119.83M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 1.2%. Owner Earnings have declined at 10.2% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.