NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, BLOOMIN’ BRANDS, INC. (BLMN) shows a Value Trap signal — WEAK BUSINESS (44/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +24.3%, but a Brina Gap of -21.7% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, BLOOMIN’ BRANDS, INC. (BLMN) trades at $10.58 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $13.97 — a +24.3% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $130.48M TTM, projected at -5.7% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -21.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (8.1%) and reinvestment rate (-203.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -16.5% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 5.2%. This places BLMN in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -0.3% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, BLMN generated $130.48M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $25.52M paid as dividends, $159.34M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -203.6%. Owner Earnings have declined at 5.7% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.