Technology • NYSE
According to Zyberno, BlackBerry Limited (BB) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (44/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -43.3% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, BlackBerry Limited (BB) trades at $8.16 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $0.03 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $3.30M TTM, projected at -26.6% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -43.3% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (3.0%) and reinvestment rate (-66.4%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.0% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 41.3%. This places BB in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -74.8% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, BB generated $3.30M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $10.00M returned via share buybacks, $5.50M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -66.4%. Owner Earnings have declined at 26.6% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.