Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD. (BAM) is not a buy — GREAT BUSINESS (83/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -35.6% and a Brina Gap of -12.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, BROOKFIELD ASSET MANAGEMENT LTD. (BAM) trades at $52.07 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $38.39 — a -35.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $2.17B TTM, projected at 23.9% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -12.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (27.4%) and reinvestment rate (-1.1%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 12.3%. This places BAM in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 12.9% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, BAM generated $2.17B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $200.00M returned via share buybacks, $3.02B paid as dividends, $22.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -1.1%. Owner Earnings have grown at 23.9% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.