Materials • NYSE
According to Zyberno, AVIENT CORPORATION (AVNT) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (36/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -92.4% and a Brina Gap of -12.6% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, AVIENT CORPORATION (AVNT) trades at $44.67 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $23.21 — a -92.4% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $205.10M TTM, projected at -3.1% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -12.6% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (5.4%) and reinvestment rate (-34.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 10.8%. This places AVNT in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -15.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, AVNT generated $205.10M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $99.80M paid as dividends, $113.10M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -34.2%. Owner Earnings have declined at 3.1% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.