Technology • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) is not a buy — GREAT BUSINESS (84/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -27.8% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) trades at $371.54 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $182.01 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $29.00B TTM, projected at 19.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -27.8% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (20.9%) and reinvestment rate (-25.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at -5.4% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 22.4%. This places AVGO in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 3.2% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, AVGO generated $29.00B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $600.00M returned via share buybacks, $11.76B paid as dividends, $773.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -25.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 19.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.