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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Aug 31, 2026

AMERICAN VANGUARD CORPORATION (AVD)

Materials • NYSE

$2.20

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

16.0/100

POOR BUSINESS

AMERICAN VANGUARD CORPORATION (AVD) scores 16/100 — concerning metrics indicating significant structural or financial risks.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full AVD quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

N/A (Requires more data)

Requires fair value calculation and current price data

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full AVD valuation analysis · → View full AVD Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (-27.8%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):EXCELLENT (0.18x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):CRITICAL (-5.2%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (-5.0%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

AMERICAN VANGUARD CORPORATION (AVD) stock report — Zyberno Score 16/100 (POOR BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

Over the trailing twelve months, AVD generated -$40.52M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $4.46M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 73.8%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:2.20

Market Cap:$63.03M

Valuation Multiples (3)

P/B Ratio:0.35x

P/S Ratio:0.12x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (2)

Enterprise Value:$286.75M

Ev Ebitda Ratio:304.40x

Price Action & Momentum (3)

12-1 Momentum:

-36.0% (17th pctile)

📈 Click to view full AVD Momentum analysis →

Momentum Percentile:17 / 100

% of 52-Week High:37.2%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (5)

ROE:

-27.8%

📊 Click to view full AVD ROE analysis →

ROA:-8.6%

Roic:

-5.0%

📊 Click to view full AVD ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:73.8%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):-3.7%

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:-5.2%

Net Margin Ttm:-10.7%

Ebitda Margin:0.2%

TTM Performance (3)

Gross Margin Ttm:29.4%

Operating Margin Ttm:-5.2%

Net Margin Ttm:-10.7%

Yield Metrics (2)

Earnings Yield:-$89.20

Dividend Yield:0.0%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Earnings Surprise (SUE) (3)

Earnings Surprise (SUE):

-0.15

📊 Click to view full AVD Earnings Surprise analysis →

EPS Surprise vs Expected:-86.9%

Latest Earnings Filed:2026-08-10

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-5.0%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-32.4%

Cash Flow Growth (Linear) (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-15.7%

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-20.5%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-21.2%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:2.47x

Quick Ratio:1.40x

Cash Ratio:0.26x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:0.18x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:0.18x

Debt To Ebitda:284.10x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:-1.12x

Times Interest Earned:-1.12

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:248,955,000.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:43,901,000.00

Long Term Debt:$265.37M

Net Debt:$223.72M

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $510.32M

Linear Growth: -5.0%

📊 Click to view full AVD Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$360.37M

Profitability Breakdown (2)

Gross profit TTM: $149.95M

Linear Growth: -11.7%

📊 Click to view full AVD Gross Profit analysis & methodology →

Operating income TTM: -$26.77M

Linear Growth: -21.2%

📊 Click to view full AVD Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: -$54.58M

Linear Growth: -32.4%

📊 Click to view full AVD Net Income analysis & methodology →

Income Before Tax:-$52.55M

Ebitda Ttm:942,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:168,471,000.00

R And D Expense:23,431,000.00

Sga Expense:109,584,000.00

Income Tax Expense:$2.03M

Interest Expense:25,175,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:20.1%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:93.9%

Ebitda Margin:0.2%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$635.34M

Current Assets:$417.75M

Ppe Net:184,117,000.00

Goodwill:0.00

Intangible Assets:$133.19M

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:453,956,000.00

Current Liabilities:168,796,000.00

Long Term Debt:$265.37M

Short Term Debt:$2.25M

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$181.39M

Retained Earnings:$140.99M

Common Stock:40,000,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:174,608,000.00

Inventory:181,382,000.00

Accounts Payable:87,295,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:0.00

Stock Based Compensation:186,000.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

Operating cash flow TTM: -$36.06M

Linear Growth: -20.5%

Free cash flow TTM: -$40.52M

Linear Growth: -15.7%

📊 Click to view full AVD Free Cash Flow analysis & methodology →

Investment Activities (2)

Investing Cash Flow:-$973.00K

Capital Expenditures Ttm:4,459,000.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:$95.01M

Dividends Paid Ttm:0.00

Stock Repurchase:0.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:0.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$225.00M

Long Term Debt Repayments:$46.00M

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:27,708,000.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (3)

EPS (Basic TTM):-1.90

Eps diluted TTM: -$1.90

Linear Growth: -28.2%

📊 Click to view full AVD EPS analysis & methodology →

Earnings Per Share Ttm:-$1.91

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:17.81

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:-$0.74

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$6.33

Cash Per Share:1.53

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:-999.00x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.80x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:2.05x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:2.92x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:124.89

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:1.99x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:183.71

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:88.42

Cash Conversion Cycle:220.18

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:40.00

Quality Score:25.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (1)

-$40.52M

Damodaran Growth Analysis (2)

Reinvestment Rate:73.8%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):-3.7%

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):-5.0%

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-32.4%

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-21.2%

Cash Flow Growth Rates (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-15.7%

Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):-20.5%

Other Growth Rates (2)

Gross Profit Growth Rate (Linear):-11.7%

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):-17.8%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:AVD

Company Name:AMERICAN VANGUARD CORPORATION

Sector:Materials

Industry:Chemicals

Exchange:NYSE

Country:United States

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:low

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:28.65M

Shares Outstanding Basic:28.65M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:28.65M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-08-31 20:19:18 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-08-19T21:21:58.509992