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ZYBERNO
Stock Report
Updated Aug 30, 2026

Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN)

Utilities • NYSE

$5.66
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. is a Canadian renewable energy and utility company headquartered in Oakville, Ontario. The company owns and operates regulated water, electricity, and natural gas utilities in the United States and Canada through its Liberty Utilities subsidiary, and owns clean energy generation assets including wind, solar, and hydroelectric power plants through its Liberty Power subsidiary.

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →
Is it a great business? Is it getting better?
18.0/100
POOR BUSINESS
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) scores 18/100 — concerning metrics indicating significant structural or financial risks.
📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +
VALUATION SIGNAL
MARGIN OF SAFETY
Is this stock cheap or expensive relative to what the business has historically generated for owners?
+74.2%
Undervalued
Is the market underestimating or overestimating what this business is capable of going forward?
-4.6%
Slight Overestimate
↑ UNDER
+50%
Brina Gap
-50%
↓ OVER
← OVERVALUED
-100%
Margin of Safety
UNDERVALUED →
+100%
UNDERESTIMATED
GROWTH
DOUBLE
DISCOUNT
EXPENSIVE
HYPE
VALUE
TRAP
0,0
MoS +74.2%  ·  Gap -4.6%

Two independent signals. One tells you if the stock is cheap relative to what the business has historically generated for owners — the Margin of Safety. The other tells you if the market is underestimating what the business is capable of going forward — the Brina Gap.

They are calculated from completely different data sources and answer completely different questions. The Margin of Safety reads the past. The Brina Gap reads the present economics and compares them against what the current stock price is assuming about the future.

When both point in the same direction simultaneously — DOUBLE DISCOUNT — the probability of genuine mispricing is high. The market is wrong on two independent dimensions at once, which is rare and significant.

The most dangerous scenario is not an overvalued stock — those are easy to avoid. It is a VALUE TRAP: a stock that appears cheap historically but where the market is already pricing in stronger growth than the business fundamentals support. Without the Brina Gap signal this looks identical to a genuine opportunity. The matrix separates them instantly.

The Brina Gap is the more powerful of the two signals. Most investors and analytical tools focus on valuation alone — whether a stock is cheap relative to earnings. Far fewer systematically compare what the business economics structurally support against what the stock price is actually assuming. That gap between fundamental growth potential and market expectations is where the most reliable mispricings live, and where this matrix earns its value.

Use this as your first filter. A stock in DOUBLE DISCOUNT territory is worth investigating. Everything else requires either more caution or a specific reason to act.

VALUE TRAP SIGNAL
Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) appears cheap historically (Margin of Safety +74.2%) but the Brina Gap (-4.6%) shows the market already prices in stronger growth than fundamentals support. Verify before acting.
⚠ Significant divergence between Owner Earnings and Free Cash Flow (4.04×). Intrinsic Value and Brina Gap are likely overstated — acquisition-related D&A is inflating Owner Earnings. Verify earnings quality before acting.
🎯 Expected Annual Return →
57.3%
Margin of Safety convergence — your return if the market re-prices to intrinsic value (5-yr annualised)
6.6%
Brina Gap convergence — your return if the market corrects the growth mispricing the Gap measures
26.6%
Yield + growth — what the business alone earns you, even if the market never re-rates
💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +
📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (0.0%)
Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):POOR (1.30x)
Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):CRITICAL (0.0%)
Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (2.0%)
📊 Valuation Trilogy
Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis
💎
Intrinsic Value
DCF Fair Value
$21.93
🛡️
Margin of Safety
Valuation Gap
74.2%
🎯
Expected Return
Projected Annual
57.3%
Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis
Zyberno's Verdict

According to Zyberno, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) shows a Value Trap signal — POOR BUSINESS (18/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +74.2%, but a Brina Gap of -4.6% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.

According to Zyberno's DCF model, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN) trades at $5.66 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $21.93 — a +74.2% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $541.25M TTM, projected at 86.1% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -4.6% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (2.0%) and reinvestment rate (693.5%), the business can fundamentally grow at 14.1% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 18.8%. This places AQN in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 57.3% annually.

Over the trailing twelve months, AQN generated $541.25M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $297.15M paid as dividends. Reinvestment rate: 693.5%. Owner Earnings have grown at 86.1% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:5.66
Market Cap:$4.35B

Valuation Multiples (2)

P/B Ratio:0.86x
Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (2)

Enterprise Value:$11.70B
Ev Ebitda Ratio:12.93x

Price Action & Momentum (3)

12-1 Momentum:
+5.6% (44th pctile)
📈 Click to view full AQN Momentum analysis →
Momentum Percentile:44 / 100
% of 52-Week High:58.4%
B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (5)

Roic:
2.0%
📊 Click to view full AQN ROIC analysis →
Reinvestment Rate:693.5%
Fundamental Growth Rate (g):14.1%
Market-Implied Growth Rate:18.8%
Brina Gap:
-4.6%
☷ Click to view full AQN Brina Gap analysis →
UNRELIABLE

Margin Analysis (1)

Ebitda Margin:37.2%

Yield Metrics (3)

Earnings Yield:-$999.00
Owner Earnings Yield:$12.45
Dividend Yield:6.8%
C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):9.1%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-10.6%

Cash Flow Growth (Linear) (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):0.2%
Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):12.7%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-3.7%
D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:1.00x
Quick Ratio:1.00x
Cash Ratio:0.03x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:1.30x
Debt-to-Equity Ratio:1.30x
Debt To Ebitda:8.16x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:1.54x
Times Interest Earned:1.54

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:5,200,000.00
Cash And Cash Equivalents:32,700,000.00
Long Term Debt:$6.17B
Net Debt:$7.35B
DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS
A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $2.43B
Linear Growth: 9.1%
📊 Click to view full AQN Revenue analysis & methodology →
Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$0.00

Profitability Breakdown (2)

$0.00
Operating income TTM: $504.70M
Linear Growth: -3.7%
📊 Click to view full AQN Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: $180.80M
Linear Growth: -10.6%
📊 Click to view full AQN Net Income analysis & methodology →
Income Before Tax:-$243.21M
Ebitda Ttm:905,000,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:2,028,248,000.00
R And D Expense:0.00
Sga Expense:45,892,829.67
Income Tax Expense:-$77.01M
Interest Expense:327,823,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:0.0%
Sga To Revenue Percentage:8.7%
Ebitda Margin:37.2%
B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$14.14B
Current Assets:$1.20B
Ppe Net:9,749,900,000.00
Goodwill:1,320,100,000.00
Intangible Assets:$69.70M

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:9,087,900,000.00
Current Liabilities:1,198,900,000.00
Long Term Debt:$6.17B
Short Term Debt:$1.21B

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$5.05B
Retained Earnings:-$2.96B
Common Stock:7,401,700,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:218,459,721.82
Inventory:0.00
Accounts Payable:145,400,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:0.00
Stock Based Compensation:2,600,000.00
C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

Operating cash flow TTM: $593.60M
Linear Growth: 12.7%
Free cash flow TTM: -$178.30M
Linear Growth: 18.0%
📊 Click to view full AQN Free Cash Flow analysis & methodology →

Investment Activities (1)

Investing Cash Flow:-$198.80M

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:-$59.50M
Dividends Paid Ttm:297,145,000.00
Stock Repurchase:0.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:21,344,657.84
Long Term Debt Issuance:$47.00M
Long Term Debt Repayments:$70.60M
DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS
A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (1)

Earnings Per Share Ttm:$0.24

Revenue & Cash Per Share (2)

Sales Per Share Ttm:3.17
Operating Cash Flow Per Share:$0.77

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$6.57
Cash Per Share:0.04

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:-999.00x
B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.17x
Working Capital Turnover Ttm:468.00x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:11.14x
Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:32.77

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:-999.00x
Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:-999.00

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:21.81
Cash Conversion Cycle:-988.04
C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:20.00
Quality Score:80.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x
Volatility Category:unknown
DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS
A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (3)

Owner earnings TTM: $541.25M
Linear Growth: 86.1%
📊 Click to view full AQN Owner Earnings analysis & methodology →
Owner Earnings Per Share:$0.70
Owner Earnings Yield:$12.45

Growth Assessment (1)

Owner Earnings Growth Rate:$86.07

Damodaran Growth Analysis (4)

Reinvestment Rate:693.5%
Fundamental Growth Rate (g):14.1%
Market-Implied Growth Rate:18.8%
Brina Gap:
-4.6%
☷ Click to view full AQN Brina Gap analysis →
UNRELIABLE

Intrinsic Value Models (1)

Intrinsic Value:
$16.84B
📊 Click to view full AQN DCF valuation →

Margin of Safety (1)

Margin Of Safety:
74.2%
📊 Click to view full AQN valuation analysis →

Return Scenarios (2)

Theoretical 5-Year Return:
57.3%
📊 Click to view full AQN expected return analysis →
Forward Expected Return (Yield + Growth):
26.6%
📊 Click to view full AQN expected return analysis →

Investment Assessment (1)

Buffett Assessment:Excellent margin of safety
B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):9.1%
Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):-10.6%
Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):-3.7%

Cash Flow Growth Rates (2)

Free Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):0.2%
Operating Cash Flow Growth Rate (Linear):12.7%

Other Growth Rates (1)

Owner Earnings Growth Rate:$86.07
C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:AQN
Company Name:Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp.
Sector:Utilities
Industry:Electric Utilities
Exchange:NYSE
Country:Canada

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A
Price Category:low
Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:768.06M
Shares Outstanding Basic:768.06M
Shares Outstanding Diluted:772.41M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0
Last Updated:2026-08-30 08:50:15 UTC
Data Timestamp:2026-08-30T08:50:15.840204
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