NYSE
According to Zyberno, AMCOR PLC (AMCR) shows a Value Trap signal — AVERAGE BUSINESS (55/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +42.9%, but a Brina Gap of -12.9% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, AMCOR PLC (AMCR) trades at $46.74 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $81.79 — a +42.9% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.23B TTM, projected at 59.2% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -12.9% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (5.6%) and reinvestment rate (-49.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.8% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 10.1%. This places AMCR in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 34.2% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, AMCR generated $1.23B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $1.20B paid as dividends, $922.00M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -49.6%. Owner Earnings have grown at 59.2% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.