Technology • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, ALLEGRO MICROSYSTEMS, INC. (ALGM) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (39/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -41.6% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, ALLEGRO MICROSYSTEMS, INC. (ALGM) trades at $35.77 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $4.13 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $93.87M TTM, projected at -8.0% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -41.6% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (3.2%) and reinvestment rate (-83.5%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.7% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 38.9%. This places ALGM in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -40.2% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, ALGM generated $93.87M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $30.45M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -83.5%. Owner Earnings have declined at 8.0% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.