Materials • NYSE
According to Zyberno, ALBEMARLE CORPORATION (ALB) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (51/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of +1.3% and a Brina Gap of -27.5% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, ALBEMARLE CORPORATION (ALB) trades at $137.95 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $139.79 — a +1.3% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.09B TTM, projected at 4.6% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -27.5% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (1.8%) and reinvestment rate (-34.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at -0.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 26.9%. This places ALB in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 4.9% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, ALB generated $1.09B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $190.59M paid as dividends, $505.85M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -34.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 4.6% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.