Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) shows a Value Trap signal — GOOD BUSINESS (67/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +45.5%, but a Brina Gap of -0.2% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Assurant, Inc. (AIZ) trades at $286.47 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $525.15 — a +45.5% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $1.45B TTM, projected at 8.1% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -0.2% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (23.4%) and reinvestment rate (0.9%), the business can fundamentally grow at 0.2% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 0.4%. This places AIZ in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 22.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, AIZ generated $1.45B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $124.20M returned via share buybacks, $171.50M paid as dividends, $229.80M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 0.9%. Owner Earnings have grown at 8.1% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.