NYSE
According to Zyberno, ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP. (AIN) shows a Value Trap signal — WEAK BUSINESS (32/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +20.4%, but a Brina Gap of -35.8% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, ALBANY INTERNATIONAL CORP. (AIN) trades at $58.35 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $73.33 — a +20.4% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $93.61M TTM, projected at 12.7% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -35.8% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (1.3%) and reinvestment rate (-124.2%), the business can fundamentally grow at -1.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 34.2%. This places AIN in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 18.0% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, AIN generated $93.61M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $31.97M paid as dividends, $63.52M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -124.2%. Owner Earnings have grown at 12.7% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.