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ZYBERNO

Stock Report

Updated Sep 1, 2026

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI)

Technology • NASDAQ

$12.35

Professional Investment Analysis

ZYBERNO SCORE →

Is it a great business? Is it getting better?

31.0/100

WEAK BUSINESS

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) scores 31/100 — weak fundamentals with mixed indicators requiring careful analysis before acting.

📊 How is the Zyberno Score calculated? +

The Zyberno Score answers one question: "Is this a quality business worth owning?" It's a 0-100 investment grade that evaluates business fundamentals across four critical dimensions, based on principles from Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch, and Charlie Munger.

The 4 Core Categories (25 points each):

1. PROFITABILITY (25 pts)

Metrics: ROE, ROIC, Net Margin, Operating Margin
Thresholds: ROE >20% excellent • ROIC >20% excellent • Net Margin >20% excellent • Operating Margin >25% excellent

2. FINANCIAL STRENGTH (25 pts)

Metrics: Debt-to-Equity, Current Ratio, Interest Coverage, Altman Z-Score
Thresholds: D/E <0.3 excellent • Current Ratio >2.5 excellent • Interest Coverage >10x excellent • Altman Z >3.0 safe

3. CASH FLOW QUALITY (25 pts)

Metrics: Free Cash Flow, OCF vs Net Income, FCF Margin
Thresholds: Positive & growing FCF excellent • OCF/NI >1.2x excellent (cash earnings exceed accounting)

4. GROWTH & CONSISTENCY (25 pts)

Metrics: Revenue Growth, Net Income Growth, FCF Growth, Piotroski F-Score
Thresholds: Growth via log-linear regression • Piotroski 8-9 excellent, 6-7 good

Score Interpretation:

75-100

GREAT BUSINESS

65-74

GOOD BUSINESS

50-64

AVERAGE BUSINESS

30-49

WEAK BUSINESS

0-29

POOR BUSINESS

→ View full AEBI quality analysis & detailed breakdown

VALUATION SIGNAL

MARGIN OF SAFETY

Is this stock cheap or expensive relative to what the business has historically generated for owners?

Margin of Safety unavailable — insufficient data for the owner-earnings DCF.

BRINA GAP ↗

Is the market underestimating or overestimating what this business is capable of going forward?

-12.4%

Market Overestimates

💰 How is Margin of Safety calculated? +

Margin of Safety measures how much discount or premium you're paying relative to a stock's intrinsic value. It's Benjamin Graham's core principle: the larger the margin, the lower your downside risk.

Formula: (Intrinsic Value − Current Price) ÷ Intrinsic Value × 100%

How We Calculate Intrinsic Value (DCF Method):

Step 1: Calculate current Owner Earnings (OCF − Maintenance CapEx)

Step 2: Calculate company-specific growth rate using log-linear regression on 16 quarters of Owner Earnings

Step 3: Project 10 years forward using the calculated growth rate

Step 4: Discount each year's cash flow to present value using 10% discount rate

Step 5: Calculate terminal value using 3% perpetual growth rate

Step 6: Sum all discounted cash flows = Intrinsic Value

What The Percentages Mean:

+50% or more

EXCELLENT — Very undervalued

+25% to +50%

GOOD — Attractive discount

0% to +25%

FAIR — Reasonable value

0% to -25%

CAUTION — Slight premium

-25% or worse

POOR — Overvalued

"Price is what you pay, value is what you get." — Warren Buffett

→ View full AEBI valuation analysis · → View full AEBI Brina Gap analysis

📈 How is Brina Gap calculated? +

Brina Gap measures the difference between the growth a business can fundamentally sustain and the growth the market is already pricing in.

Formula: Fundamental Growth Rate − Market-Implied Growth Rate

The Two Components:

Fundamental Growth Rate = ROIC × Reinvestment Rate

What the business can sustainably grow at based on how much it reinvests and what return it earns on that capital. Grounded in historical financials.

Market-Implied Growth Rate = Reverse DCF

The growth rate the current Enterprise Value implicitly assumes. Calculated by back-solving a 10-year DCF model (10% WACC, 3% terminal growth) until the present value of projected cash flows equals EV.

What The Gap Means:

Gap > +5% Market Underestimates — potential upside

+2% to +5% Slight Underestimate

-2% to +2% Fairly Priced — market consensus matches fundamentals

-5% to -2% Slight Overestimate

Gap < -5% Market Overestimates — price embeds optimism fundamentals don't support

A positive gap (market underestimates) combined with a positive Margin of Safety is the strongest combined signal — the business is both cheap historically and forward economics are stronger than the price suggests.

Critical Financial Health Indicators

Return on Equity (Profitability):CRITICAL (2.6%)

Debt-to-Equity (Solvency Risk):AVERAGE (0.96x)

Operating Margin (Operational Efficiency):POOR (4.5%)

Return on Capital (Capital Efficiency):CRITICAL (4.5%)

📊 Valuation Trilogy

Three interconnected metrics for complete valuation analysis

Click any metric for full methodology and detailed analysis

Zyberno's Verdict

Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) stock report — Zyberno Score 31/100 (WEAK BUSINESS). Full financial analysis on Zyberno.

According to Zyberno's DCF model, Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) shows a Brina Gap of -12.4%, which weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (4.5%) and reinvestment rate (-50.3%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.3% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 10.1%.

Over the trailing twelve months, AEBI generated $4.77M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $13.44M paid as dividends, $13.03M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -50.3%.

DIVISION I: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

A. Market Valuation

Market Price & Capitalization (2)

Current Price:12.35

Market Cap:$953.19M

Valuation Multiples (4)

P/E Ratio:

38.59x

📊 Click to view full AEBI P/E analysis →

P/B Ratio:1.16x

P/S Ratio:0.49x

Peg Ratio:-999.00x

Enterprise Metrics (3)

Enterprise Value:$1.46B

Ev Ebitda Ratio:9.64x

Pfcf Ratio:200.04x

Price Action & Momentum (2)

12-1 Momentum:

+1.1%

📈 Click to view full AEBI Momentum analysis →

% of 52-Week High:77.4%

B. Profitability Assessment

Return Metrics (7)

ROE:

2.6%

📊 Click to view full AEBI ROE analysis →

ROA:1.0%

Roic:

4.5%

📊 Click to view full AEBI ROIC analysis →

Reinvestment Rate:-50.3%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):-2.3%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:10.1%

Brina Gap:

-12.4%

☷ Click to view full AEBI Brina Gap analysis →

Margin Analysis (3)

Operating Margin Ttm:4.5%

Net Margin Ttm:1.1%

Ebitda Margin:7.8%

TTM Performance (3)

Gross Margin Ttm:19.4%

Operating Margin Ttm:4.5%

Net Margin Ttm:1.1%

Yield Metrics (3)

Earnings Yield:$2.59

Owner Earnings Yield:$0.50

Dividend Yield:1.4%

C. Log-Linear Regression Growth Trends

Revenue Growth (Linear) (1)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):78.3%

Earnings Growth (Linear) (1)

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):100.0%

Operating Growth (Linear) (1)

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):56.5%

D. Financial Stability

Liquidity Ratios (3)

Current Ratio:1.98x

Quick Ratio:1.14x

Cash Ratio:0.24x

Leverage Analysis (3)

Debt To Equity Ttm:0.96x

Debt-to-Equity Ratio:0.96x

Debt To Ebitda:4.08x

Coverage Ratios (2)

Interest Coverage Ratio:1.51x

Times Interest Earned:1.51

Capital Structure (4)

Working Capital:444,432,000.00

Cash And Cash Equivalents:109,734,000.00

Long Term Debt:$551.34M

Net Debt:$507.95M

DIVISION II: FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS

A. Income Statement Analysis

Revenue Components (2)

Revenue TTM: $1.95B

Linear Growth: 78.3%

📊 Click to view full AEBI Revenue analysis & methodology →

Cost Of Revenue Ttm:$1.57B

Profitability Breakdown (2)

Gross profit TTM: $378.60M

Linear Growth: 64.8%

📊 Click to view full AEBI Gross Profit analysis & methodology →

Operating income TTM: $87.22M

Linear Growth: 56.5%

📊 Click to view full AEBI Operating Income analysis & methodology →

Bottom Line Performance (3)

Net income TTM: $21.18M

Linear Growth: 100.0%

📊 Click to view full AEBI Net Income analysis & methodology →

Income Before Tax:$28.04M

Ebitda Ttm:151,556,000.00

Operating Expenses (5)

Operating Expenses:291,376,000.00

R And D Expense:29,574,000.00

Sga Expense:230,598,000.00

Income Tax Expense:$6.93M

Interest Expense:48,464,000.00

Expense Ratios (3)

R And D To Revenue Percentage:6.0%

Sga To Revenue Percentage:46.5%

Ebitda Margin:7.8%

B. Balance Sheet Analysis

Asset Composition (5)

Total Assets:$2.02B

Current Assets:$897.03M

Ppe Net:160,459,000.00

Goodwill:409,092,000.00

Intangible Assets:$320.26M

Liability Structure (4)

Total Liabilities:1,191,417,000.00

Current Liabilities:452,601,000.00

Long Term Debt:$551.34M

Short Term Debt:$66.34M

Equity & Capital (3)

Equity:$824.29M

Retained Earnings:$64.87M

Common Stock:77,217,000.00

Working Capital Items (3)

Accounts Receivable:276,267,000.00

Inventory:380,154,000.00

Accounts Payable:207,281,000.00

Special Items (2)

Contract Liabilities:26,791,000.00

Stock Based Compensation:1,003,000.00

C. Cash Flow Analysis

Operating Activities (2)

$17.79M$4.77M

Investment Activities (2)

Investing Cash Flow:-$1.06M

Capital Expenditures Ttm:13,029,000.00

Financing Activities (3)

Financing Cash Flow:$36.83M

Dividends Paid Ttm:13,435,000.00

Stock Repurchase:0.00

Capital Transactions (3)

Common Stock Issuance:0.00

Long Term Debt Issuance:$41.26M

Long Term Debt Repayments:$573.18M

Non-Cash Items (1)

Depreciation Amortization Ttm:64,335,000.00

DIVISION III: OPERATIONAL METRICS

A. Per Share Analysis

Earnings Per Share (3)

EPS (Basic TTM):0.32

Eps diluted TTM: $0.32

Linear Growth: -50.0%

📊 Click to view full AEBI EPS analysis & methodology →

Earnings Per Share Ttm:$0.27

Revenue & Cash Per Share (3)

Sales Per Share Ttm:25.29

Operating Cash Flow Per Share:$0.12

Fcf Per Share Ttm:0.06

Book Value & Capital (2)

Book Value Per Share:$10.68

Cash Per Share:1.42

Dividend Policy (1)

Dividend Payout Ratio:63.44x

B. Operational Efficiency

Asset Utilization (2)

Asset Turnover Ttm:0.96x

Working Capital Turnover Ttm:4.39x

Receivables Management (2)

Receivables Turnover Ttm:7.06x

Days Sales Outstanding Ttm:51.67

Inventory Management (2)

Inventory Turnover Ttm:4.14x

Days Inventory Outstanding Ttm:88.21

Payables & Cash Cycle (2)

Days Payable Outstanding:48.10

Cash Conversion Cycle:91.78

C. Quality & Risk Metrics

Financial Quality Scores (2)

Financial Strength Score:60.00

Quality Score:65.00

Market Metrics (2)

Beta:0.00x

Volatility Category:unknown

DIVISION IV: INVESTMENT ANALYSIS

A. Value Investment Framework

Owner Earnings Analysis (3)

Owner earnings TTM: $4.77M

Linear Growth: 0.0%

📊 Click to view full AEBI Owner Earnings analysis & methodology →

Owner Earnings Per Share:$0.06

Owner Earnings Yield:$0.50

Damodaran Growth Analysis (4)

Reinvestment Rate:-50.3%

Fundamental Growth Rate (g):-2.3%

Market-Implied Growth Rate:10.1%

Brina Gap:

-12.4%

☷ Click to view full AEBI Brina Gap analysis →

Return Scenarios (1)

Forward Expected Return (Yield + Growth):

-1.8%

📊 Click to view full AEBI expected return analysis →

Investment Assessment (1)

Buffett Assessment:Overvalued

B. Log-Linear Regression Growth Analysis

Growth Rates (Log-Linear Regression) (3)

Revenue Growth Rate (Linear):78.3%

Net Income Growth Rate (Linear):100.0%

Operating Income Growth Rate (Linear):56.5%

Other Growth Rates (2)

Gross Profit Growth Rate (Linear):64.8%

Book Value Growth Rate (Linear):100.0%

C. Company Profile & Context

Corporate Information (6)

Symbol:AEBI

Company Name:Aebi Schmidt Holding AG

Sector:Technology

Industry:Construction Machinery & Equip

Exchange:NASDAQ

Country:Switzerland

Market Classification (3)

Market Cap Category:N/A

Price Category:medium

Volume Category:N/A

Share Structure (3)

Shares Outstanding:77.18M

Shares Outstanding Basic:77.18M

Shares Outstanding Diluted:77.52M

Data Processing Info (3)

Processing Version:v3.0

Last Updated:2026-09-01 05:26:48 UTC

Data Timestamp:2026-09-01T05:26:48.025889