Healthcare • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, ADMA BIOLOGICS, INC. (ADMA) shows a Value Trap signal — GREAT BUSINESS (82/100) with an apparent Margin of Safety of +43.6%, but a Brina Gap of -0.4% reveals the current price still assumes faster growth than the business can deliver.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, ADMA BIOLOGICS, INC. (ADMA) trades at $9.34 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $16.56 — a +43.6% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $121.44M TTM, projected at 32.8% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -0.4% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (25.7%) and reinvestment rate (8.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at 2.2% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 2.6%. This places ADMA in the Value Trap quadrant of the Brina Matrix — a value-trap signal where the apparent discount is undermined by overpriced growth expectations. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of 34.6% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, ADMA generated $121.44M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $130.19M returned via share buybacks, $20.42M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: 8.6%. Owner Earnings have grown at 32.8% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.