Technology • NASDAQ
According to Zyberno, Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) is not a buy — AVERAGE BUSINESS (64/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -100.0% and a Brina Gap of -20.6% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) trades at $374.52 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $133.02 — a -100.0% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $4.56B TTM, projected at 3.3% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -20.6% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (10.8%) and reinvestment rate (-23.7%), the business can fundamentally grow at -2.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 18.0%. This places ADI in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -16.1% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, ADI generated $4.56B in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $516.50M returned via share buybacks, $1.95B paid as dividends, $493.89M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -23.7%. Owner Earnings have grown at 3.3% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.