Financial Services • NYSE
According to Zyberno, AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST, INC. (AAT) is not a buy — WEAK BUSINESS (46/100) with a negative Margin of Safety of -11.8% and a Brina Gap of -10.7% showing the market already prices in more growth than the fundamentals support.
According to Zyberno's DCF model, AMERICAN ASSETS TRUST, INC. (AAT) trades at $22.43 against an estimated intrinsic value per share of $20.07 — a -11.8% Margin of Safety based on Owner Earnings of $92.60M TTM, projected at 1.7% growth for 10 years with a 2.5% terminal growth rate. The Brina Gap of -10.7% weakens the case: based on the company's ROIC (7.7%) and reinvestment rate (-73.6%), the business can fundamentally grow at -5.6% — but the current enterprise value implies the market expects 5.1%. This places AAT in the Expensive Hype quadrant of the Brina Matrix, the most fragile combination — overvalued on cash AND overpriced on growth. Zyberno's model translates this into a 5-year expected return of -0.5% annually.
Over the trailing twelve months, AAT generated $92.60M in Owner Earnings. Capital was deployed as follows: $105.34M paid as dividends, $76.24M invested in capital expenditures. Reinvestment rate: -73.6%. Owner Earnings have grown at 1.7% annually over the trailing five years using log-linear regression.